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Chris Godwin

WR · TB · Bye 10 · Age 30 · 9 yrs exp · Depth #2

VALUE · VORP

VOR+2.4Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -70μ 20ceil 75

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

137.8

projected fantasy points (σ 56.5)

floor 66μ 138ceil 210

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust48%
P10 66 ptsμ̃ 138 ptsP90 210 pts
heuristic: 165regression: 111

Advanced Analytics

68.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
5.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
11.1
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
7.9
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
71%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 8.5best 126.2YoY 38.4
Chris Godwin career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
2022151421041,0233329%118.87.9
202317130831,0242407%126.27.4
2024762505765197%87.812.5

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

119
2022
126
2023
88
2024