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Daniel Bellinger
TE · TEN · Bye 9 · Age 25 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR-42.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -100μ -34ceil 15
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
41.5
projected fantasy points (σ 44.9)
floor -16μ 41ceil 99
Outcome uncertainty
- bust83%
P10 -16 ptsμ̃ 42 ptsP90 99 pts
heuristic: 52regression: 31
Advanced Analytics
21.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.2.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.9.4
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.86%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.7%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 2.7best 45.0YoY ▼ 13.0
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11 | 35 | 30 | 268 | 2 | 132% | 45.0 | 4.1 |
| 2023 | 13 | 28 | 25 | 255 | 0 | 104% | 25.5 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 125 | 0 | 46% | 12.5 | 1.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
45
2022
26
2023
13
2024