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Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 23 · 2 yrs exp · Depth #2

VALUE · VORP

VOR-84.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -141μ -66ceil -28

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

50.7

projected fantasy points (σ 44.3)

floor -6μ 51ceil 108

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust97%
P10 -6 ptsμ̃ 51 ptsP90 108 pts
heuristic: 53regression: 48

Advanced Analytics

18.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
1.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
13.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
5.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
42%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.
1.4
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 1.8best 30.8
Adonai Mitchell career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
20241755233120191%30.81.8

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
31
2024