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Cedric Tillman
WR · CLE · Bye 11 · Age 26 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #4
VALUE · VORP
VOR-47.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -110μ -37ceil 16
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
88.3
projected fantasy points (σ 49.0)
floor 26μ 88ceil 151
Outcome uncertainty
- bust83%
P10 26 ptsμ̃ 88 ptsP90 151 pts
heuristic: 107regression: 70
Advanced Analytics
28.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.1.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.3
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.54%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.7best 51.4YoY ▲ 28.2
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 44 | 21 | 224 | 0 | 124% | 23.2 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 339 | 3 | 118% | 51.4 | 5.7 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
23
2023
51
2024