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Alex Erickson

WR · Free Agent · Age 32 · 9 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-83.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -147μ -59ceil -20

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

51.6

projected fantasy points (σ 49.7)

floor -12μ 52ceil 115

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust95%
P10 -12 ptsμ̃ 52 ptsP90 115 pts
heuristic: 71regression: 33

Advanced Analytics

29.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
14.5
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
8.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
55%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 3.7best 29.2
Alex Erickson career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
202382916232175%29.23.7

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
29
2023