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ATL

Chris Blair

WR · ATL · Bye 11 · Age 28 · 5 yrs exp · Depth #5

VALUE · VORP

VOR-95.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -166μ -80ceil -26

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

39.8

projected fantasy points (σ 54.7)

floor -30μ 40ceil 110

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust96%
P10 -30 ptsμ̃ 40 ptsP90 110 pts
heuristic: 70regression: 10

Advanced Analytics

8.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
17.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
8.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
50%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 0.9best 1.7
Chris Blair career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
20242211707%1.70.9

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
2
2024