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Ameer Abdullah
RB · JAX · Bye 7 · Age 33 · 11 yrs exp · Depth #5
VALUE · VORP
VOR-39.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -101μ -25ceil 23
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
77.2
projected fantasy points (σ 48.3)
floor 15μ 77ceil 139
Outcome uncertainty
- bust79%
P10 15 ptsμ̃ 77 ptsP90 139 pts
heuristic: 73regression: 81
Advanced Analytics
24.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.2
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.9
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.82%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.2%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.2best 85.2YoY ▲ 63.2
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 25 | 211 | 29.1 | 2.2 |
| 2023 | 16 | 15 | 89 | 0 | 19 | 131 | 22.0 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 13 | 66 | 311 | 2 | 40 | 261 | 85.2 | 6.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
29
2022
22
2023
85
2024