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Brandon Johnson
WR · LV · Bye 13 · Age 28 · 4 yrs exp
VALUE · VORP
VOR-90.2Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -162μ -77ceil -18
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
45.2
projected fantasy points (σ 56.3)
floor -27μ 45ceil 117
Outcome uncertainty
- bust95%
P10 -27 ptsμ̃ 45 ptsP90 118 pts
heuristic: 78regression: 13
Advanced Analytics
22.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.12.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.58%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.11.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 4.4best 54.4YoY ▼ 53.5
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 44% | 10.2 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 30 | 19 | 284 | 4 | 98% | 54.4 | 5.4 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.9 | 0.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
10
2022
54
2023
1
2024