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Darrel Williams

RB · Free Agent · Age 28 · 5 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-57.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -126μ -38ceil 11

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

58.6

projected fantasy points (σ 53.4)

floor -10μ 59ceil 127

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust86%
P10 -10 ptsμ̃ 59 ptsP90 127 pts
heuristic: 81regression: 36

Advanced Analytics

22.2
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
4.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
2.3
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
1.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
50%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 3.4best 17.1
Darrel Williams career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
202252110214917.13.4

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
17
2022