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Alexander Mattison

RB · Free Agent · Age 27 · 7 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-5.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -66μ 14ceil 55

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

110.9

projected fantasy points (σ 47.3)

floor 50μ 111ceil 171

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust54%
P10 50 ptsμ̃ 111 ptsP90 172 pts
heuristic: 118regression: 104

Advanced Analytics

42.1
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
3.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
7.1
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
5.2
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
74%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
2.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 5.9best 103.2YoY ▼ 1.8
Alexander Mattison career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
202217742835159173.44.3
202316180700030192103.26.5
202414132420436294101.47.2

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

73
2022
103
2023
101
2024