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AJ Barner
TE · SEA · Bye 11 · Age 24 · 2 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-18.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -77μ 6ceil 41
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
65.7
projected fantasy points (σ 46.3)
floor 6μ 66ceil 125
Outcome uncertainty
- bust65%
P10 6 ptsμ̃ 66 ptsP90 125 pts
heuristic: 69regression: 62
Advanced Analytics
17.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.8.2
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.79%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.10.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.5best 48.5
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14 | 38 | 30 | 245 | 4 | 120% | 48.5 | 3.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
Not enough history
49
2024