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Bailey Zappe
QB · NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #4
VALUE · VORP
VOR-107.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl209.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -204μ -96ceil -12
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
101.9
projected fantasy points (σ 75.1)
floor 6μ 102ceil 198
Outcome uncertainty
- bust92%
P10 6 ptsμ̃ 102 ptsP90 198 pts
heuristic: 161regression: 43
Advanced Analytics
5.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.2.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.−6.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.−6.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.100%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.148.2
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.0.9
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 7.7best 69.2YoY ▼ 62.2
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 781 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38.6 | 9.7 |
| 2023 | 10 | 1,272 | 6 | 9 | 83 | 1 | 69.2 | 6.9 |
| 2024 | 1 | 170 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
39
2022
69
2023
7
2024