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D'Andre Swift
RB · CHI · Bye 10 · Age 27 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+22.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP43.1Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -58μ 46ceil 104
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
162.6
projected fantasy points (σ 63.1)
floor 82μ 163ceil 243
Outcome uncertainty
- bust36%
P10 82 ptsμ̃ 163 ptsP90 244 pts
consensus: 187heuristic: 149regression: 152
Advanced Analytics
75.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.2.7%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 10.1best 172.5YoY ▲ 12.2
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 99 | 542 | 5 | 48 | 389 | 143.1 | 10.2 |
| 2023 | 16 | 229 | 1,049 | 5 | 39 | 214 | 160.3 | 10.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 253 | 959 | 6 | 42 | 386 | 172.5 | 10.1 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
143
2022
160
2023
173
2024