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Bo Nix
QB · DEN · Bye 10 · Age 26 · 2 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+69.2Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP113.1Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -20μ 70ceil 159
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
260.2
projected fantasy points (σ 70.0)
floor 171μ 260ceil 350
Outcome uncertainty
- bust16%
P10 171 ptsμ̃ 260 ptsP90 350 pts
consensus: 266heuristic: 265regression: 250
Advanced Analytics
25.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.7
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.2.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.2.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.100%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.222.1
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.4
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 18.6best 316.2
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 3,775 | 29 | 12 | 430 | 4 | 316.2 | 18.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
Not enough history
316
2024