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CAR

Dan Chisena

WR · CAR · Bye 5 · Age 29 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #8

IR

VALUE · VORP

VOR-97.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -165μ -81ceil -30

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

37.8

projected fantasy points (σ 52.5)

floor -29μ 38ceil 105

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust97%
P10 -29 ptsμ̃ 38 ptsP90 105 pts
heuristic: 64regression: 11

Advanced Analytics

12.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
12.3
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
9.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 1.2best 3.7
Dan Chisena career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
202434337015%3.71.2

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
4
2024