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Garrett Wilson
WR · NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+31.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP31.4Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -44μ 36ceil 107
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
170.7
projected fantasy points (σ 59.1)
floor 95μ 171ceil 246
Outcome uncertainty
- bust30%
P10 95 ptsμ̃ 171 ptsP90 247 pts
consensus: 188heuristic: 166regression: 159
Advanced Analytics
63.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.0.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.9
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.60%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.2.9%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 7.9best 150.9YoY ▲ 32.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 147 | 83 | 1,103 | 4 | 432% | 132.7 | 7.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 168 | 95 | 1,042 | 3 | 506% | 118.2 | 7.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 153 | 101 | 1,104 | 7 | 439% | 150.9 | 8.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
133
2022
118
2023
151
2024