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Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · DET · Bye 6 · Age 26 · 5 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+75.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP7.9Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -16μ 141ceil 166
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
214.6
projected fantasy points (σ 70.8)
floor 124μ 215ceil 305
Outcome uncertainty
- bust14%
P10 124 ptsμ̃ 215 ptsP90 305 pts
consensus: 241heuristic: 204regression: 199
Advanced Analytics
82.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.8.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.6.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.0.1
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 11.7best 211.9YoY ▼ 10.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 146 | 106 | 1,161 | 6 | 444% | 161.6 | 10.1 |
| 2023 | 16 | 164 | 119 | 1,515 | 10 | 473% | 211.9 | 13.2 |
| 2024 | 17 | 141 | 115 | 1,263 | 12 | 454% | 201.2 | 11.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
162
2022
212
2023
201
2024