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Malik Willis
QB · MIA · Bye 6 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-54.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP163.8Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -138μ 32ceil 30
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
137.0
projected fantasy points (σ 65.6)
floor 53μ 137ceil 221
Outcome uncertainty
- bust79%
P10 53 ptsμ̃ 137 ptsP90 221 pts
consensus: 180heuristic: 156regression: 74
Advanced Analytics
18.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.5.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.3.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.60.0
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.1.0
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 4.9best 51.8YoY ▲ 48.7
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 276 | 0 | 3 | 123 | 1 | 19.3 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 2 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 6 | 550 | 3 | 0 | 138 | 1 | 51.8 | 8.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
19
2022
3
2023
52
2024