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Joe Burrow
QB · CIN · Bye 6 · Age 29 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+133.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP57.6Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 8μ 98ceil 258
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
324.0
projected fantasy points (σ 97.4)
floor 199μ 324ceil 449
Outcome uncertainty
- bust9%
P10 199 ptsμ̃ 324 ptsP90 449 pts
consensus: 370heuristic: 311regression: 292
Advanced Analytics
12.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.7
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.4.7%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.272.1
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.3.4
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 20.2best 372.8YoY ▲ 225.7
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 4,475 | 35 | 12 | 257 | 5 | 350.7 | 21.9 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2,309 | 15 | 6 | 88 | 0 | 147.2 | 14.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4,918 | 43 | 9 | 201 | 2 | 372.8 | 21.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
351
2022
147
2023
373
2024