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Chris Evans
RB · Free Agent · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp
VALUE · VORP
VOR-62.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -134μ -47ceil 9
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
53.8
projected fantasy points (σ 56.1)
floor -18μ 54ceil 126
Outcome uncertainty
- bust87%
P10 -18 ptsμ̃ 54 ptsP90 126 pts
heuristic: 88regression: 20
Advanced Analytics
9.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.6.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.9.3
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.80%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.14.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 2.2best 9.8YoY ▼ 8.7
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 9.8 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
10
2022
1
2023