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Darrell Henderson
RB · Free Agent · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp
VALUE · VORP
VOR-22.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -92μ -11ceil 47
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
93.3
projected fantasy points (σ 54.3)
floor 24μ 93ceil 163
Outcome uncertainty
- bust66%
P10 24 ptsμ̃ 93 ptsP90 163 pts
heuristic: 120regression: 66
Advanced Analytics
42.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 6.4best 56.5YoY ▼ 23.0
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10 | 70 | 283 | 3 | 17 | 102 | 56.5 | 5.7 |
| 2023 | 4 | 46 | 112 | 2 | 10 | 103 | 33.5 | 8.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
57
2022
34
2023