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Kyler Murray
QB · MIN · Bye 6 · Age 29 · 7 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+50.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP136.2Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -32μ 37ceil 133
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
241.8
projected fantasy points (σ 64.4)
floor 159μ 242ceil 324
Outcome uncertainty
- bust21%
P10 160 ptsμ̃ 242 ptsP90 324 pts
consensus: 234heuristic: 257regression: 235
Advanced Analytics
34.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.6.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.5.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.222.7
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.0
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 17.9best 297.2YoY ▲ 150.9
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11 | 2,368 | 14 | 7 | 418 | 3 | 200.5 | 18.2 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1,799 | 10 | 5 | 244 | 3 | 146.4 | 18.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 3,851 | 21 | 11 | 572 | 5 | 297.2 | 17.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
201
2022
146
2023
297
2024