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Dalton Kincaid
TE · BUF · Bye 7 · Age 26 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-5.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -63μ 20ceil 52
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
78.2
projected fantasy points (σ 44.9)
floor 21μ 78ceil 136
Outcome uncertainty
- bust55%
P10 21 ptsμ̃ 78 ptsP90 136 pts
heuristic: 86regression: 71
Advanced Analytics
38.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.9.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.70%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.2.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 4.6best 77.3YoY ▼ 20.5
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 91 | 73 | 673 | 2 | 286% | 77.3 | 4.8 |
| 2024 | 13 | 75 | 44 | 448 | 2 | 263% | 56.8 | 4.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
77
2023
57
2024