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Damien Williams

RB · Free Agent · Age 31 · 9 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-79.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -141μ -60ceil -18

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

36.3

projected fantasy points (σ 48.0)

floor -25μ 36ceil 98

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust95%
P10 -25 ptsμ̃ 36 ptsP90 98 pts
heuristic: 58regression: 15

Advanced Analytics

14.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
3.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
6.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
6.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
100%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 1.4best 5.5YoY 5.3
Damien Williams career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
20221220000.20.2
20233114302125.51.8

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

0
2022
6
2023