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Chuba Hubbard
RB · CAR · Bye 5 · Age 27 · 5 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR+25.4Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP86.3Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -55μ 5ceil 106
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
165.0
projected fantasy points (σ 63.1)
floor 84μ 165ceil 246
Outcome uncertainty
- bust34%
P10 84 ptsμ̃ 165 ptsP90 246 pts
consensus: 128heuristic: 186regression: 181
Advanced Analytics
71.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.6.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.83%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.2.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 9.5best 198.6YoY ▲ 55.1
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 95 | 466 | 2 | 14 | 171 | 75.7 | 6.3 |
| 2023 | 17 | 238 | 902 | 5 | 39 | 233 | 143.5 | 8.4 |
| 2024 | 15 | 250 | 1,195 | 10 | 43 | 171 | 198.6 | 13.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
76
2022
144
2023
199
2024