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Matthew Stafford
QB · LAR · Bye 11 · Age 38 · 17 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+30.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP74.9Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -101μ 56ceil 161
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
221.0
projected fantasy points (σ 102.0)
floor 90μ 221ceil 352
Outcome uncertainty
- bust38%
P10 91 ptsμ̃ 221 ptsP90 352 pts
consensus: 324heuristic: 185regression: 154
Advanced Analytics
2.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.1.8
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.1.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.245.3
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.0
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 14.2best 243.1YoY ▼ 28.5
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9 | 2,087 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 108.4 | 12.0 |
| 2023 | 15 | 3,965 | 24 | 11 | 65 | 0 | 243.1 | 16.2 |
| 2024 | 16 | 3,762 | 20 | 8 | 41 | 0 | 214.6 | 13.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
108
2022
243
2023
215
2024