← Player Explorer
Saquon Barkley
RB · PHI · Bye 10 · Age 29 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+99.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP17.2Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 2μ 100ceil 197
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
239.1
projected fantasy points (σ 75.9)
floor 142μ 239ceil 336
Outcome uncertainty
- bust10%
P10 142 ptsμ̃ 239 ptsP90 337 pts
consensus: 238heuristic: 221regression: 259
Advanced Analytics
112.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.8
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.6.8
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.73%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 15.9best 322.3YoY ▲ 140.1
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 295 | 1,312 | 10 | 57 | 338 | 227.0 | 14.2 |
| 2023 | 14 | 247 | 962 | 6 | 41 | 280 | 182.2 | 13.0 |
| 2024 | 16 | 345 | 2,005 | 13 | 33 | 278 | 322.3 | 20.1 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
227
2022
182
2023
322
2024