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Cole Kmet
TE · CHI · Bye 10 · Age 27 · 6 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR-7.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl95.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -65μ 3ceil 51
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
88.5
projected fantasy points (σ 45.5)
floor 30μ 89ceil 147
Outcome uncertainty
- bust56%
P10 30 ptsμ̃ 89 ptsP90 147 pts
heuristic: 96regression: 81
Advanced Analytics
38.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.2.2
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.10.2
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.79%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.7.8%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 6.1best 108.1YoY ▼ 34.7
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 69 | 50 | 544 | 7 | 320% | 97.3 | 5.7 |
| 2023 | 15 | 90 | 73 | 719 | 6 | 318% | 108.1 | 7.2 |
| 2024 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 474 | 4 | 165% | 73.4 | 5.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
97
2022
108
2023
73
2024