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Dare Ogunbowale
RB · LV · Bye 13 · Age 32 · 9 yrs exp
VALUE · VORP
VOR-101.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -158μ -92ceil -46
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
38.1
projected fantasy points (σ 43.7)
floor -18μ 38ceil 94
Outcome uncertainty
- bust99%
P10 -18 ptsμ̃ 38 ptsP90 94 pts
heuristic: 41regression: 35
Advanced Analytics
18.4
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.8
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.2
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.67%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.1.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 2.2best 37.0YoY ▲ 31.7
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11 | 42 | 123 | 1 | 20 | 104 | 28.7 | 2.6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5.3 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 15 | 30 | 112 | 0 | 19 | 198 | 37.0 | 2.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
29
2022
5
2023
37
2024