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Dante Pettis
WR · BUF · Age 30 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #8
VALUE · VORP
VOR-92.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -152μ -75ceil -32
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
43.1
projected fantasy points (σ 47.0)
floor -17μ 43ceil 103
Outcome uncertainty
- bust98%
P10 -17 ptsμ̃ 43 ptsP90 103 pts
heuristic: 62regression: 25
Advanced Analytics
18.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.18.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.8
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.45%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.0best 46.2YoY ▼ 26.2
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 41 | 19 | 245 | 3 | 176% | 46.2 | 3.3 |
| 2024 | 8 | 28 | 12 | 120 | 1 | 90% | 20.0 | 2.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
46
2022
20
2024