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Allen Lazard
WR · Free Agent · Age 30 · 7 yrs exp
VALUE · VORP
VOR-34.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -102μ -11ceil 32
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
100.5
projected fantasy points (σ 52.3)
floor 34μ 101ceil 168
Outcome uncertainty
- bust75%
P10 34 ptsμ̃ 101 ptsP90 168 pts
heuristic: 115regression: 86
Advanced Analytics
40.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.0.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.13.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.7.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.57%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.6.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 6.0best 114.8YoY ▲ 51.9
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 100 | 60 | 788 | 6 | 307% | 114.8 | 7.7 |
| 2023 | 13 | 49 | 23 | 311 | 1 | 159% | 37.1 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 12 | 61 | 37 | 530 | 6 | 171% | 89.0 | 7.4 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
115
2022
37
2023
89
2024