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Chris Olave
WR · NO · Bye 8 · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR-13.4Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP22.7Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -122μ 56ceil 96
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
126.2
projected fantasy points (σ 85.2)
floor 17μ 126ceil 235
Outcome uncertainty
- bust56%
P10 17 ptsμ̃ 126 ptsP90 236 pts
consensus: 202heuristic: 109regression: 68
Advanced Analytics
65.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.7.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.13.4
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.63%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 8.1best 144.3YoY ▼ 99.6
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 119 | 72 | 1,042 | 4 | 392% | 126.2 | 8.4 |
| 2023 | 16 | 138 | 87 | 1,123 | 5 | 396% | 144.3 | 9.0 |
| 2024 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 400 | 1 | 158% | 44.7 | 5.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
126
2022
144
2023
45
2024