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Chris Olave

WR · NO · Bye 8 · Age 26 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1

VALUE · VORP

VOR-47.2Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl135.4Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -125μ -17ceil 30

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

88.2

projected fantasy points (σ 60.6)

floor 11μ 88ceil 166

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust78%
P10 11 ptsμ̃ 88 ptsP90 166 pts
heuristic: 109regression: 68

Advanced Analytics

65.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
7.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
13.4
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
8.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
63%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 8.1best 144.3YoY 99.6
Chris Olave career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
202215119721,0424392%126.28.4
202316138871,1235396%144.39.0
2024844324001158%44.75.6

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

126
2022
144
2023
45
2024