← Player Explorer
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · Bye 7 · Age 30 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+158.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP33.2Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 22μ 206ceil 296
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
349.7
projected fantasy points (σ 107.1)
floor 213μ 350ceil 487
Outcome uncertainty
- bust7%
P10 213 ptsμ̃ 350 ptsP90 487 pts
consensus: 440heuristic: 320regression: 289
Advanced Analytics
37.1
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.5.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.10.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.251.4
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.4
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 23.7best 395.5YoY ▼ 22.3
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 4,283 | 35 | 14 | 762 | 7 | 395.5 | 24.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4,306 | 29 | 18 | 524 | 15 | 394.6 | 23.2 |
| 2024 | 16 | 3,731 | 28 | 6 | 531 | 12 | 372.3 | 23.3 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
396
2022
395
2023
372
2024