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Josh Jacobs
RB · GB · Bye 11 · Age 28 · 7 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR+70.7Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP26.3Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -25μ 70ceil 167
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
210.4
projected fantasy points (σ 75.0)
floor 114μ 210ceil 306
Outcome uncertainty
- bust17%
P10 115 ptsμ̃ 210 ptsP90 307 pts
consensus: 226heuristic: 191regression: 214
Advanced Analytics
102.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.2
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.78%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 14.4best 275.3YoY ▲ 113.0
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 340 | 1,653 | 12 | 53 | 400 | 275.3 | 16.2 |
| 2023 | 13 | 233 | 805 | 6 | 37 | 296 | 144.1 | 11.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 301 | 1,329 | 15 | 36 | 342 | 257.1 | 15.1 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
275
2022
144
2023
257
2024