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Javonte Williams
RB · DAL · Bye 14 · Age 26 · 5 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+10.0Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP33.7Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -98μ 62ceil 118
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
149.6
projected fantasy points (σ 84.2)
floor 42μ 150ceil 257
Outcome uncertainty
- bust45%
P10 42 ptsμ̃ 150 ptsP90 258 pts
consensus: 216heuristic: 120regression: 112
Advanced Analytics
57.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.7
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.5.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.4.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.77%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.1.6%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 7.1best 132.2YoY ▼ 26.3
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 47 | 204 | 0 | 16 | 76 | 26.0 | 6.5 |
| 2023 | 16 | 217 | 774 | 3 | 47 | 228 | 132.2 | 8.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 139 | 513 | 4 | 52 | 346 | 105.9 | 6.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
26
2022
132
2023
106
2024