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Case Keenum
QB · CHI · Bye 10 · Age 38 · 14 yrs exp · Depth #3
VALUE · VORP
VOR-135.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl209.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -231μ -102ceil -40
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
74.4
projected fantasy points (σ 74.4)
floor -21μ 74ceil 170
Outcome uncertainty
- bust97%
P10 -21 ptsμ̃ 75 ptsP90 170 pts
heuristic: 134regression: 15
Advanced Analytics
0.3
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.0.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.74.8
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.0.3
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 2.5best 9.7YoY ▲ 9.4
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 291 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9.7 | 4.9 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
0
2022
10
2023