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Jared Goff
QB · DET · Bye 6 · Age 31 · 10 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+74.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP99.9Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -8μ 53ceil 157
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
265.5
projected fantasy points (σ 64.7)
floor 183μ 265ceil 348
Outcome uncertainty
- bust12%
P10 183 ptsμ̃ 266 ptsP90 349 pts
consensus: 283heuristic: 270regression: 244
Advanced Analytics
3.2
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.1.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.6.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.100%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.267.5
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.3.1
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 17.6best 323.5YoY ▲ 34.4
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 4,438 | 29 | 7 | 73 | 0 | 283.3 | 16.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4,575 | 30 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 289.1 | 17.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4,629 | 37 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 323.5 | 19.0 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
283
2022
289
2023
323
2024