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Chase Brown
RB · CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+69.8Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP14.8Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -49μ 105ceil 188
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
209.4
projected fantasy points (σ 92.4)
floor 91μ 209ceil 328
Outcome uncertainty
- bust23%
P10 91 ptsμ̃ 210 ptsP90 328 pts
consensus: 251heuristic: 194regression: 184
Advanced Analytics
64.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.5
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.85%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 9.3best 201.0YoY ▲ 161.5
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10 | 44 | 179 | 0 | 14 | 156 | 39.5 | 4.0 |
| 2024 | 16 | 229 | 990 | 7 | 54 | 360 | 201.0 | 12.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
40
2023
201
2024