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Dak Prescott
QB · DAL · Bye 14 · Age 33 · 10 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+32.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP64.2Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -136μ 87ceil 202
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
223.9
projected fantasy points (σ 132.1)
floor 55μ 224ceil 393
Outcome uncertainty
- bust40%
P10 55 ptsμ̃ 224 ptsP90 394 pts
consensus: 356heuristic: 202regression: 114
Advanced Analytics
12.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.2
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.3.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.252.8
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.2.2
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 17.8best 342.8YoY ▼ 226.3
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 2,860 | 23 | 15 | 182 | 1 | 198.6 | 16.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4,516 | 36 | 9 | 242 | 2 | 342.8 | 20.2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1,978 | 11 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 116.5 | 14.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
199
2022
343
2023
117
2024