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Breece Hall
RB · NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 25 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR+54.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP33.0Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -43μ 66ceil 151
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
194.0
projected fantasy points (σ 75.8)
floor 97μ 194ceil 291
Outcome uncertainty
- bust24%
P10 97 ptsμ̃ 194 ptsP90 291 pts
consensus: 222heuristic: 184regression: 176
Advanced Analytics
90.6
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.6
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.5
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.4
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 12.4best 214.5YoY ▼ 30.6
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 80 | 463 | 4 | 19 | 218 | 96.1 | 13.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 223 | 994 | 5 | 76 | 591 | 214.5 | 12.6 |
| 2024 | 16 | 209 | 876 | 5 | 57 | 483 | 183.9 | 11.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
96
2022
215
2023
184
2024