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Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Free Agent · Age 34 · 12 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-88.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -160μ -61ceil -18

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

27.3

projected fantasy points (σ 55.4)

floor -44μ 27ceil 98

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust95%
P10 -43 ptsμ̃ 27 ptsP90 98 pts
heuristic: 33regression: 21

Advanced Analytics

32.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
4.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
5.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
4.2
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
74%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
3.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 4.9best 133.7YoY ▼ 2.4
Cordarrelle Patterson career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
202213144695821122133.710.3
20231250181093827.92.3
202413321350128025.52.0

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

134
2022
28
2023
26
2024