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Chris Rodriguez
RB · JAX · Bye 7 · Age 26 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #2
VALUE · VORP
VOR-71.1Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -135μ -34ceil -7
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
68.6
projected fantasy points (σ 49.9)
floor 5μ 69ceil 132
Outcome uncertainty
- bust92%
P10 5 ptsμ̃ 69 ptsP90 133 pts
heuristic: 90regression: 47
Advanced Analytics
31.7
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.9
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.8.0
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.0
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.100%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 4.7best 35.9YoY ▼ 5.4
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 8 | 51 | 247 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 35.9 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 6 | 35 | 173 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 30.5 | 5.1 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
36
2023
31
2024