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Armani Rogers

TE · Free Agent · Age 27 · 3 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-46.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADPAverage draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -105μ -35ceil 12

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

37.5

projected fantasy points (σ 45.9)

floor -21μ 38ceil 96

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust84%
P10 -21 ptsμ̃ 38 ptsP90 96 pts
heuristic: 50regression: 25

Advanced Analytics

18.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
13.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
12.8
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
10.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
83%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
0.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 1.8best 9.0
Armani Rogers career production by season
SeasonGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDTgt%PtsPPG
202256564018%9.01.8

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

Not enough history
9
2022