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Cade Otton
TE · TB · Bye 10 · Age 27 · 4 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+17.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl83.8Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -42μ 32ceil 77
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
101.1
projected fantasy points (σ 46.4)
floor 42μ 101ceil 160
Outcome uncertainty
- bust35%
P10 42 ptsμ̃ 101 ptsP90 161 pts
heuristic: 109regression: 93
Advanced Analytics
32.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.−4.0
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.9.8
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.6
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.68%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.4.5%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 4.6best 81.6YoY ▲ 12.1
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 65 | 42 | 391 | 2 | 142% | 51.1 | 3.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | 67 | 47 | 455 | 4 | 206% | 69.5 | 4.3 |
| 2024 | 14 | 87 | 59 | 600 | 4 | 258% | 81.6 | 5.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
51
2022
70
2023
82
2024