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Craig Reynolds
RB · Free Agent · Age 29 · 7 yrs exp
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR-75.3Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor -134μ -46ceil -17
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
40.8
projected fantasy points (σ 45.5)
floor -17μ 41ceil 99
Outcome uncertainty
- bust95%
P10 -17 ptsμ̃ 41 ptsP90 99 pts
heuristic: 56regression: 26
Advanced Analytics
32.8
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.4
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.11.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.10.2
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.85%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.0.9%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 3.5best 26.6YoY ▼ 8.7
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6 | 23 | 102 | 0 | 9 | 116 | 21.8 | 3.6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 41 | 179 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 26.6 | 4.4 |
| 2024 | 7 | 31 | 139 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 17.9 | 2.6 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
22
2022
27
2023
18
2024