← Player Explorer
Bijan Robinson
RB · ATL · Bye 11 · Age 24 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+132.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP2.3Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 1μ 227ceil 264
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
272.5
projected fantasy points (σ 102.7)
floor 141μ 273ceil 404
Outcome uncertainty
- bust10%
P10 141 ptsμ̃ 273 ptsP90 404 pts
consensus: 331heuristic: 242regression: 245
Advanced Analytics
98.5
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.4.7
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.7
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.5.8
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.75%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.3.4%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 13.8best 280.7YoY ▲ 92.4
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 214 | 976 | 4 | 58 | 487 | 188.3 | 11.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 304 | 1,456 | 14 | 61 | 431 | 280.7 | 16.5 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
188
2023
281
2024