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Lamar Jackson
QB · BAL · Bye 13 · Age 29 · 8 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+162.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl191.0Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP55.9Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 52μ 128ceil 273
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
353.5
projected fantasy points (σ 86.1)
floor 243μ 353ceil 464
Outcome uncertainty
- bust3%
P10 243 ptsμ̃ 354 ptsP90 464 pts
consensus: 376heuristic: 351regression: 334
Advanced Analytics
55.6
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.6.3
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.3.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.224.3
Pass Y/GPassing yards per game — quarterback passing volume.4.6
TD:INTTouchdown-to-interception ratio — quarterback decision quality (INT of 0 → shown as raw TDs).CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 22.2best 430.4YoY ▲ 99.2
| Season | G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 2,242 | 17 | 7 | 764 | 3 | 236.1 | 19.7 |
| 2023 | 16 | 3,678 | 24 | 7 | 821 | 5 | 331.2 | 20.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4,172 | 41 | 4 | 915 | 4 | 430.4 | 25.3 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
236
2022
331
2023
430
2024