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Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · DET · Bye 6 · Age 24 · 3 yrs exp · Depth #1
VALUE · VORP
VOR+145.5Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.7Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP1.5Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 12μ 232ceil 279
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
285.2
projected fantasy points (σ 104.6)
floor 151μ 285ceil 419
Outcome uncertainty
- bust8%
P10 151 ptsμ̃ 285 ptsP90 419 pts
consensus: 341heuristic: 256regression: 259
Advanced Analytics
99.1
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.5.5
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.7.8
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.6.1
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.78%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.5.3%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 15.4best 302.9YoY ▲ 112.8
| Season | G | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 182 | 945 | 10 | 52 | 316 | 190.1 | 12.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | 250 | 1,412 | 16 | 52 | 497 | 302.9 | 17.8 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
190
2023
303
2024