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Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26 · 5 yrs exp · Depth #1
QuestionableVALUE · VORP
VOR+120.9Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl139.6Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP3.9Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.
Simulated outcome band · P10–P90
floor 23μ 168ceil 219
SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble
260.5
projected fantasy points (σ 76.7)
floor 162μ 260ceil 359
Outcome uncertainty
- bust6%
P10 162 ptsμ̃ 261 ptsP90 359 pts
consensus: 266heuristic: 259regression: 257
Advanced Analytics
89.0
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.3.1
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.12.6
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.8.7
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.69%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.7.1%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.CAREER PRODUCTION
career PPG 13.2best 276.0YoY ▲ 113.3
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Tgt% | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 134 | 87 | 1,046 | 9 | 354% | 155.4 | 13.0 |
| 2023 | 16 | 145 | 100 | 1,216 | 7 | 417% | 162.7 | 10.2 |
| 2024 | 17 | 175 | 127 | 1,708 | 17 | 463% | 276.0 | 16.2 |
FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON
155
2022
163
2023
276
2024