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Austin Ekeler

RB · Free Agent · Age 30 · 9 yrs exp

VALUE · VORP

VOR-17.6Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement starter at this position. The core VORP ranking signal.Repl116.2Replacement baseline: the projected points of the last startable player at this position. VOR is measured against this line.ADP—Average draft position across public drafts. Compare to the overall rank to spot market mispricings.

Simulated outcome band · P10–P90

floor -115μ 10ceil 79

SEASON PROJECTION · ensemble

98.6

projected fantasy points (σ 75.8)

floor 2μ 99ceil 196

Outcome uncertainty

  • bust59%
P10 2 ptsμ̃ 99 ptsP90 196 pts
heuristic: 101regression: 96

Advanced Analytics

79.9
Scrim Y/GScrimmage yards (rush + receiving) per game — total offensive volume, the base usage signal.
4.2
YPCYards per carry — rushing efficiency independent of volume.
7.9
YPRYards per reception — depth/efficiency of completed catches.
6.3
YPTYards per target — receiving efficiency per opportunity; a free-data proxy for aDOT × catch quality.
80%
Catch %Reception rate — receptions ÷ targets; hands + role reliability.
4.0%
TD/OppScrimmage touchdowns per opportunity (carry + target) — scoring efficiency / red-zone role.

CAREER PRODUCTION

career PPG 11.6best 265.7YoY ▼ 37.1
Austin Ekeler career production by season
SeasonGCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsPtsPPG
20221720491513107722265.715.6
202314179628551436134.49.6
2024127736743536697.38.1

FANTASY POINTS BY SEASON

266
2022
134
2023
97
2024